What Are The Chances Of Actually Finding an Alien Civilization?

The “Drake Equation” is used by astronomers and it just changed..

The search for alien life continues strong and is not a topic reserved for those on the fringe.  Scientists at MIT and Cornell are weighing in on things.  The advent of exoplanets being detectable is making some news:

The Drake equation describes “N”: the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which radio communication might be possible. Its author, the astronomer Frank Drake, originally penned it as a discussion point for one of the first meetings about the search for extraterrestrial intelligence in the early 1960s.

The discovery of planets orbiting other stars has suddenly given astronomers a good idea of the fraction of stars with planets and the fraction with rocky planets in the habitable zone.

Let’s find out how this effected the equation on page 2

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11 Comments

  1. Laurence Delaroderie said:

    If Einstein was right and the speed of light is the maximum velocity then the chances are “0” but if he was wrong then the chances are still “0”…that is due to the fact that Earth is an insignificant little planet on the arm or a spiral galaxy in a universe filled with galaxies

  2. Mike Guay said:

    We are the alien civilization. We no longer fit within or belong in Earth’s ecosystem. In fact, we are toxic to this planets health and its future.
    And that’s the glass half “full” outlook.

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