What Are The Chances of Finding Alien Civilizations Soon?

The “Drake Equation” has just changed..

The search for alien life continues strong in 2015 and is not a topic reserved for those on the fringe.  Scientists at MIT and Cornell are weighing in on things.  The advent of exoplanets being detectable is making some news:

The Drake equation describes “N”: the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which radio communication might be possible. Its author, the astronomer Frank Drake, originally penned it as a discussion point for one of the first meetings about the search for extraterrestrial intelligence in the early 1960s.

The discovery of planets orbiting other stars has suddenly given astronomers a good idea of the fraction of stars with planets and the fraction with rocky planets in the habitable zone.

The opinions are all over on this topic.  However the majority of people think we will find aliens eventually.

What do you think?  Is it likely or not in your opinion?

Let’s find out how this effected the equation on page 2

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  1. Anonymous said:

    I’m not too convinced on the 1 and 60 billion. Seems a little stretched. I understand that our civilization defies astronomical reasoning and probability takes over. The universe as a whole defies our understanding as it is, and the fact that spiral galaxies are held together with such an immense orbital momentum and gravity being so unbelievably weak. Our models and view on the universe compared to data, gives us he largest mathematical mismatch in science history. I was still a little hopeful for more that 1 and 60 billion.