Here is a bit more information regarding their calculations. And for most space fans and science fiction fans alike, it is promising!
That raises an interesting question: how has all this new data influences the Drake equation? Today we get an answer of sorts thanks to the work of Adam Frank at the University of Rochester in New York and Woody Sullivan at the University of Washington in Seattle. “The empirical determination of exoplanet statistics has radically changed the nature and quality of constraints astrobiologists now have at their disposal when considering the prevalence of life in the Universe,” they say.
And it immediately leads to an interesting conclusion. If the probability of a technological species arising on a given planet in a habitable zone is greater than one in 60 billion, then another technical species has probably arisen at some point elsewhere in the Milky Way. A tantalizing thought.
What would you do if you had a huge budget? Would you deploy a S.E.T.I.-like search method or perhaps invest in propulsion systems?
Feel free to comment!
thanks to MIT Review for the great info
thanks to cornell.edu for the great info
They’re probably hiding and want nothing to do with the earth crazies!
we have a lot work to do .
I’m not too convinced on the 1 and 60 billion. Seems a little stretched. I understand that our civilization defies astronomical reasoning and probability takes over. The universe as a whole defies our understanding as it is, and the fact that spiral galaxies are held together with such an immense orbital momentum and gravity being so unbelievably weak. Our models and view on the universe compared to data, gives us he largest mathematical mismatch in science history. I was still a little hopeful for more that 1 and 60 billion.